Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 6 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Monday 6 November 2023. Jong PSV U21 vs ADO Den Haag sits top on 52% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#4 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Torino
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 1 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Premier League · Russia
Ural
0 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Willem II
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Aalesund
0 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
3 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Farense
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 6 November 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs ADO Den Haag at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.