Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 5 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Jonkopings Sodra vs Gais at 66% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
0 : 2 FT
Gais
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Luton
1 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 54%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 22%
Draw 18%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 76%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
0 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 20%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 0 FT
Boavista
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
3 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
0 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
0 : 1 FT
Goias
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
#16 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 39%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Vitória SC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 3 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Championship Β· England
Norwich
1 : 3 FT
Blackburn
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 1 FT
Molde
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 5 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jonkopings Sodra vs Gais at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.