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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 19 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 February 2023. Lamia vs Olympiakos Piraeus led the list at 65% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 9%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 3 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 16%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 1 FT
Espanyol
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 3 FT
Famalicao
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Montpellier
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
2 : 1 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 19 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lamia vs Olympiakos Piraeus at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.