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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 18 February 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 February 2023. Wigan vs Norwich sits top on 64% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Norwich
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 54%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 17%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 60%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 22%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
0 : 0 FT
Charleroi
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
1 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#10 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 League One · England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
#12 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
0 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 24%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#16 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 3 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 31%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 18 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wigan vs Norwich at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.