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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Sunday 12 September 2021

Thu 9 Fri 10 Sat 11 Sun 12 Mon 13 Tue 14 Wed 15

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 12 September 2021. Bodo/Glimt vs ODD Ballklubb (Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet)) sits top on 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 73%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the draw no bet market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet) 92%

Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK (draw no bet) 90%

✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 76% PAOK Clean Sheet 70%

Eliteserien · Norway Rosenborg (draw no bet) 83%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset (draw no bet) 83%

Eliteserien · Norway Haugesund (draw no bet) 82%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt (draw no bet) 81%

Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice (draw no bet) 80%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum (draw no bet) 80%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#11

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ettifaq (draw no bet) 78%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Molde (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%

#13

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#14

2. Bundesliga · Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg (draw no bet) 76%

#15

Allsvenskan · Sweden Kalmar FF (draw no bet) 76%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine Vorskla Poltava (draw no bet) 76%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#17

Challenger Pro League · Belgium KVC Westerlo (draw no bet) 75%

#18

Primera División · Chile Cobresal (draw no bet) 74%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%

#19

Eredivisie · Netherlands Waalwijk (draw no bet) 74%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 73%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 12 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs ODD Ballklubb (Bodo/Glimt (draw no bet)) at 92% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.