Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 2 May 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 May 2026. Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 93% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
93%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
90%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
89%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius or draw
89%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal or draw
87%
League One · England
Plymouth or draw
87%
League One · England
Wycombe or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04 or draw
86%
League Two · England
Grimsby or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo or draw
85%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Nacional or draw
84%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden or draw
84%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown or draw
84%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
83%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen or draw
83%
League One · England
Lincoln or draw
83%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 May 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.