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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 3 May 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 May 2026. Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Okhdood (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) sits top on 93% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 93%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 90%
Hammarby FF
3 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 90%
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 88%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 88%
Flamengo
2 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap or draw 85%
Prachuap
2 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 85%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Ostersunds FK or draw 84%
Ostersunds FK
3 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 84%
Levadiakos
5 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland GKS Katowice or draw 84%
GKS Katowice
5 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 83%
Ratchaburi
6 : 1 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 83%
Sao Paulo
2 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 82%
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 82%
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 0 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 82%
Hannover 96
3 : 3 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kasımpaşa or draw 82%
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Kocaelispor
Win 45%
Draw 37%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 81%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat or draw 80%
Akhmat
2 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga or draw 80%
Valerenga
2 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro or draw 80%
Cruzeiro
1 : 3 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 May 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Okhdood (Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.