Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 15 February 2026
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 15 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Famalicao (Sporting CP or draw) at 93% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
93%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
91%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe or draw
87%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV or draw
83%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon or draw
82%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo or draw
81%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Thun or draw
79%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC or draw
79%
Serie B · Italy
Avellino or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Monza or draw
77%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht or draw
77%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone or draw
77%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
76%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
75%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna or draw
75%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 15 February 2026?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Famalicao (Sporting CP or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.