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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 17 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 17 February 2026. Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town (Milton Keynes Dons or draw) sits top on 89% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 89%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 85%
Lincoln
4 : 0 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 League One Β· England Stevenage or draw 85%
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Stevenage Clean Sheet 59%
#4 League Two Β· England Bromley or draw 85%
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 League One Β· England Cardiff or draw 82%
Cardiff
4 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 81%
Salford City
1 : 3 FT
Newport County
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#7 Championship Β· England Charlton or draw 79%
Charlton
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#8 League Two Β· England Cambridge United or draw 76%
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 17 February 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town (Milton Keynes Dons or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.