Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 24 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 24 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Everton (Liverpool or draw) at 96% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 96%
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 10%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 90%
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 89%
Atletico-MG
2 : 2 FT
Coritiba
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 89%
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga or draw 88%
Valerenga
1 : 0 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes or draw 88%
Nantes
5 : 3 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 87%
Empoli
3 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 14%
Draw 21%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 86%
Barcelona
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 86%
Antalyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Kayserispor
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 86%
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hansa Rostock or draw 83%
Erzgebirge AUE
2 : 2 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 83%
Lillestrom
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 82%
Plzen
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 81%
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 80%
Gent
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 79%
AIK Stockholm
1 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 79%
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage or draw 79%
IK brage
3 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 78%
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Belenenses
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 78%
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 24 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Everton (Liverpool or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.