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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 23 April 2022

Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25 Tue 26

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 23 April 2022. NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) led the list at 88% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 88%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 88%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 87%

Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 87%

League Two · England Exeter City or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 86%

League One · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 85%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 85%

#10

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 85%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 84%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 83%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

#14

Serie A · Italy Hellas Verona or draw 83%

#15

League One · England Ipswich or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#16

League One · England Sunderland or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#17

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

#18

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#19

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 81%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#20

Championship · England Derby or draw 81%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 23 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.