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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 25 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 25 April 2022. Toulouse vs Niort (Toulouse or draw) led the list at 88% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France Toulouse or draw 88%
Toulouse
2 : 0 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 85%
IF Elfsborg
3 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce or draw 83%
Lecce
2 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Como or draw 81%
Como
0 : 2 FT
Vicenza Virtus
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Benevento or draw 81%
Benevento
1 : 2 FT
Ternana
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 81%
Boavista
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 81%
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Spal
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Cosenza or draw 79%
Cosenza
3 : 1 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 78%
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
FC Porto
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England Crystal Palace or draw 77%
Crystal Palace
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Championship Β· England Preston or draw 76%
Preston
1 : 4 FT
Blackburn
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 25 April 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Niort (Toulouse or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.