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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 22 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 22 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to NAC Breda vs Dordrecht (NAC Breda or draw) at 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 89%
NAC Breda
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 86%
Derry City
7 : 1 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 86%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 2 FT
Dynamo Dresden
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 84%
Lahti
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 84%
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 16%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 84%
Twente
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Ajaccio or draw 83%
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 17%
Draw 31%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 54%
#8 Championship Β· England Huddersfield or draw 83%
Huddersfield
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 81%
Excelsior
3 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 79%
Rizespor
0 : 6 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 21%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 78%
Al Wahda FC
3 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 77%
VfL Wolfsburg
5 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Nancy or draw 75%
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Quevilly
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 22 April 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Dordrecht (NAC Breda or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.