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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Monday 18 April 2022

Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 18 April 2022. Bolton vs Accrington ST (Bolton or draw) led the list at 90% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Bolton or draw 90%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League One · England Shrewsbury or draw 87%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

Championship · England Nottingham Forest or draw 85%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 85%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 59%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Premier Division · Ireland Bohemians or draw 84%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 83%

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#10

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 53%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Norrby IF or draw 82%

#12

Serie B · Italy Lecce or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

League One · England Wycombe or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

#14

League Two · England Stevenage or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

#15

League Two · England Salford City or draw 81%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%

#16

Superettan · Sweden IK brage or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 81%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#18

League One · England Plymouth or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#19

Serie B · Italy Cittadella or draw 79%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

#20

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 79%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 18 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bolton vs Accrington ST (Bolton or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.