Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 20 April 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 20 April 2022. Slavia Praha vs Zlin (Slavia Praha or draw) led the list at 89% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 88%
Lech Poznan
3 : 0 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese or draw 87%
Udinese
0 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Kalmar FF or draw 85%
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 15%
Draw 18%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient or draw 82%
Lorient
1 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 81%
Slovácko
2 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 81%
Atletico Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Granada CF
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 80%
Monaco
1 : 0 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 80%
Osasuna
1 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France Estac Troyes or draw 78%
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain or draw 78%
Angers
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 78%
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 77%
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 76%
Flamengo
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 76%
Mjallby AIF
3 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 75%
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 20 April 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Zlin (Slavia Praha or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.