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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 April 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to 1899 Hoffenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1899 Hoffenheim or draw) at 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 91%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 88%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 62%

Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 88%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%

Serie A · Brazil Ceara or draw 84%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 59%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Serie A · Brazil Santos or draw 83%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%

2. Bundesliga · Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 83%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 82%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

#11

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic České Budějovice or draw 81%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%

#12

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 81%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Nantes or draw 80%

#14

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 80%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 79%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%

#16

Premier League · England West Ham or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%

#17

Primera División · Chile Curico Unido or draw 78%

#18

Superettan · Sweden AFC Eskilstuna or draw 78%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

#19

Challenger Pro League · Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

#20

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 77%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by 1899 Hoffenheim vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1899 Hoffenheim or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.