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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 April 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 April 2022. Toulouse vs Quevilly (Toulouse or draw) sits top on 94% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · France Toulouse or draw 94%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Toulouse Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany FC Augsburg or draw 89%

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 87%

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 83%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%

League One · England Wigan or draw 83%

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 83%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Brentford or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#10

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

#11

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 83%

#12

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 82%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#14

Super League 1 · Greece Volos NFC or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

#16

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%

#17

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%

#18

Serie A · Italy Sampdoria or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Serie A · Italy Sassuolo or draw 80%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

#20

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Quevilly (Toulouse or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.