Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 12 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 September 2021. Bodo/Glimt vs ODD Ballklubb (Bodo/Glimt or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
93%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK or draw
93%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
86%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq or draw
85%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
83%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw
83%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF or draw
83%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
83%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC or draw
82%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava or draw
82%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs ODD Ballklubb (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.