Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 September 2021. Blackpool vs Fulham (Fulham or draw) sits top on 90% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Fulham or draw
90%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
90%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius or draw
88%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK or draw
88%
Premier League · England
Manchester United or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund or draw
86%
League One · England
Wigan or draw
85%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Spal or draw
84%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira or draw
84%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes or draw
84%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly or draw
83%
League Two · England
Hartlepool or draw
83%
League One · England
Cambridge United or draw
83%
League One · England
Sunderland or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Levante or draw
82%
Championship · England
Hull City or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Blackpool vs Fulham (Fulham or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.