Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 1 May 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 May 2026. Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford led the list at 69% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
4 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 3 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
3 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
0 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Cesena
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Mantova
3 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Reggiana
✓ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
✓ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Empoli
1 : 0 FT
Avellino
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Padova
1 : 0 FT
Pescara
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
✓ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 31%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Widzew Łódź
✓ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Pisa
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 31%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
2 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 38%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
4 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 1 May 2026?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford at 69% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.