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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 20 March 2026

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

37 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC at 80% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 0 FT
Corinthians
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
1 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 4 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
3 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
3 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 9%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 34%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
3 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Boulogne
0 : 0 FT
Nancy
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 0 FT
Montpellier
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
3 : 4 FT
Le Mans
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
3 : 4 FT
Jong AZ
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
Win 46%
Draw 20%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 7%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
0 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
3 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 0 FT
Seraing United
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Patro Eisden
0 : 4 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
1 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 17%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 8%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
1 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
5 : 1 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 64% Lens Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Preston
3 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
3 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
4 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 37 of 37 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 20 March 2026?

37 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Almere City FC at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.