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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 5 October 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

103 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 October 2025. Monaco vs Nice sits top on 82% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 23%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Mirassol
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Anyang
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
0 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 31%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
3 : 1 FT
Kudrivka
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
2 : 1 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
Cagliari
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Ipswich
3 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
1 : 0 FT
Utsikten
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 4 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 20%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
2 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
3 : 1 FT
Elche
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
5 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
3 : 2 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Brann
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 19%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 3 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 1 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Motor Lublin
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Everton
2 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
4 : 1 FT
Falkenbergs FF
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
4 : 0 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 2 FT
Empoli
Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
3 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 3 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 27%
Draw 40%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 19%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
2 : 1 FT
Dender
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 3 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
5 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 2 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 22%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
0 : 3 FT
KuPS
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
4 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 20%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 3 FT
BK Hacken
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
5 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 3 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
2 : 4 FT
FC Lugano
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
6 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia
2 : 3 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 4 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
2 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
2 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
2 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
5 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
4 : 1 FT
Pescara
Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Brentford
0 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
4 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
GKS Katowice
0 : 1 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 32%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 45%
Draw 36%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
3 : 0 FT
Tondela
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
✓ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
0 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 24%
Draw 19%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
✓ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 12%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 39%
Draw 21%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
0 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
4 : 3 FT
Vitoria
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 3 FT
Palmeiras
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
3 : 3 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
0 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Flamengo
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
3 : 3 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 103 of 103 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 5 October 2025?

103 fixtures met the criteria, led by Monaco vs Nice at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.