Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 3 October 2025

Tue 30 Wed 1 Thu 2 Fri 3 Sat 4 Sun 5 Mon 6

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 3 October 2025. HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan sits top on 86% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

K League 1 · South-Korea

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Thai League 1 · Thailand

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

✓ Model Score 1–2 · 9%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%

Model Score 3–1 · 7%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Eintracht Braunschweig

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Ligue 2 · France

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Ligue 2 · France

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 2 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 2 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 2 · France

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Ligue 2 · France

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Model Score 2–1 · 8%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Model Score 1–2 · 8%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

Model Score 0–1 · 17%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 0–1 · 12%

Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%

Model Score 1–1 · 8%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · England

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Championship · England

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 3 October 2025?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.