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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 5 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

32 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 5 May 2025. Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG sits top on 87% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 22%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 72% Nublense Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Super League Β· China
Dalian Zhixing
0 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 36%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 0 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 4 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 28%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 83%
Model Score 2–2 Β· 6%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 2 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 27%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panserraikos
3 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
0 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 2 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 3 FT
Al Urooba
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 1 FT
GKS Katowice
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
0 : 2 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
Trelleborg
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
2 : 3 FT
Levadiakos
Win 31%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
1 : 2 FT
Boavista
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie A Β· Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 0 FT
Mirassol
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%

Showing 32 of 32 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 5 May 2025?

32 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs SHANGHAI SIPG at 87% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.