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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 4 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 85 fixtures on Sunday 4 May 2025. Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF led the list at 78% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 3 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 28%
Draw 36%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Botafogo
Win 37%
Draw 40%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 21%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 3 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
0 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 19%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 16%
Draw 33%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 3 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 25%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Charleroi
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 48%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
0 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 2 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Brentford
4 : 3 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
4 : 2 FT
Falkenbergs FF
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
0 : 4 FT
Atalanta
Win 9%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 71%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Atalanta Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
0 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
2 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cesena
2 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 0 FT
Mantova
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Samsunspor
3 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 23%
Draw 35%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
4 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0 FT
Teplice
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 2 FT
Leganes
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Osters IF
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 33%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
5 : 1 FT
Servette FC
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
2 : 1 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
0 : 1 FT
Sandefjord
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
0 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 2 FT
Oleksandria
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
3 : 1 FT
Liverpool
✓ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
✓ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
0 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 73%
Draw 21%
Win 6%
BTTS No 59% Zenit Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Khimki
1 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
1 : 3 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
0 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 2 FT
PAOK
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 0 FT
Bryne
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 1 FT
Palmeiras
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 0 FT
Santos
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Iquique
3 : 0 FT
Huachipato
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
Flamengo
✓ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
2 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
✓ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%

Showing 85 of 85 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 4 May 2025?

85 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 FF at 78% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.