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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 2 May 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

51 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to VPS vs Ilves at 79% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 22%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 2 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
3 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
2 : 3 FT
Karpaty
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Akron
1 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
0 : 1 FT
FF Jaro
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 3 FT
AC Oulu
Win 24%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
1 : 0 FT
Ilves
Win 29%
Draw 19%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 0 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 28%
Draw 35%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 20%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
2 : 1 FT
Damac
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
0 : 5 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
SJK
✓ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Metz
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
4 : 2 FT
PAU
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
3 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
3 : 4 FT
Cambuur
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
5 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 4 FT
Jong AZ
Win 21%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 2 FT
Roda
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Reims
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
1 : 1 FT
Venezia
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
4 : 2 FT
Dender
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 0 FT
Galway United
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
✓ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Limache
1 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 51 of 51 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 2 May 2025?

51 fixtures met the criteria, led by VPS vs Ilves at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.