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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 23 August 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 23 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Wasl FC at 71% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
0 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Rayong FC
1 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 5 FT
Al Nasr
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
3 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 21%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 3 FT
Metz
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Caen
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Amiens
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 4 FT
Martigues
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
3 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
0 : 1 FT
Francs Borains
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Göztepe
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al Orubah
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 19%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Bari
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
6 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
7 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
0 : 5 FT
Sporting CP
Win 18%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 23 August 2024?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad Kalba vs Al-Wasl FC at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.