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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 26 April 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

41 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 26 April 2024. Cambuur vs Dordrecht led the list at 74% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 2 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 3 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 3 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
1 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 30%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
4 : 2 FT
Hatta SC
✓ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
EIF
✓ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
✓ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 3 FT
Galatasaray
Win 18%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 2 FT
SCR Altach
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 0 FT
MVV
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
3 : 3 FT
Dordrecht
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 3 FT
Den Bosch
Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 3 FT
Al Shabab
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
3 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa
2 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Cremonese
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
3 : 1 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
✓ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 29%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
QPR
4 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 26 April 2024?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs Dordrecht at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.