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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 10 December 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 63 fixtures on Sunday 10 December 2023. SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg sits top on 73% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 28%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

2. Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Trat FC
2 : 3 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
0 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
0 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Reims
✓ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 27%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
2 : 0 FT
Pendikspor
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
FC BW Linz
1 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
1 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Everton
2 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Fulham
5 : 0 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · England
Luton
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 25%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 18%
Draw 35%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Ligue 1 · France
Metz
0 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 29%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Monza
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
5 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 15%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
1 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Modena
Win 31%
Draw 34%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Parma
3 : 3 FT
Palermo
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
3 : 1 FT
Boavista
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
Yverdon Sport
2 : 1 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
0 : 2 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 3 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
4 : 1 FT
Newcastle
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
4 : 2 FT
Raków Częstochowa
✓ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 0 FT
CSKA Moscow
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
Baltika
0 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 25%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 28%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Mlada Boleslav
✓ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
0 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ SK Beveren Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 20%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
2 : 4 FT
Marseille
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
2 : 4 FT
Girona
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Chaves
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Showing 63 of 63 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 10 December 2023?

63 fixtures met the criteria, led by SV Elversberg vs 1. FC Nürnberg at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.