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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 20 May 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

84 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sparta Praha vs Bohemians 1905 at 74% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge
0 : 0 FT
Vancouver FC
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 0 FT
Magallanes
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
3 : 2 FT
Orebro SK
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
✓ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
2 : 0 FT
Lahti
✓ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
2 : 0 FT
Inhulets
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
1 : 3 FT
Brentford
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
✓ Win 40%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
3 : 3 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 40%
Draw 38%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 22%
Draw 38%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 2 FT
Villarreal
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 5 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
3 : 0 FT
Laval
✓ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bordeaux Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Gais
0 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
2 : 3 FT
Trelleborg
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 5 FT
Bologna
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
1 : 1 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
0 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 34%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Fulham
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Carlisle
3 : 1 FT
Bradford
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
✓ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
2 : 4 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 4 FT
Alanyaspor
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
3 : 0 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
✓ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
1 : 3 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Almeria
3 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Elche
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Getafe Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
4 : 2 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 1 FT
Sochaux
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 3 FT
Caen
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 6 FT
Bastia
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Nimes
1 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
0 : 3 FT
York United
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
5 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 2 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
2 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Goias
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 71% Barcelona Clean Sheet 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 21%
Primera División · Chile
Nublense
1 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 19%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
1 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 0 FT
Fluminense
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
4 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
✓ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 22%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 13%
Draw 28%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 84 of 84 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 20 May 2023?

84 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Bohemians 1905 at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.