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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 30 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

90 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 April 2023. Bayern München vs Hertha BSC led the list at 84% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 26%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 3 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 2 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 31%
Draw 36%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
0 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 3 FT
Port FC
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Championship · England
Cardiff
1 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
0 : 4 FT
Montpellier
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Superettan · Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 0 FT
IK brage
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
1 : 0 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
✓ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
0 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
✓ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
2 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
4 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
1 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 34%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
FC Sion
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Bournemouth
4 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · England
Newcastle
3 : 1 FT
Southampton
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
4 : 2 FT
Angers
✓ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 60% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
✓ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
3 : 0 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–0 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
3 : 1 FT
Pardubice
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 21%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Teplice
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 4 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
4 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
3 : 1 FT
Torpedo Moskva
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
✓ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Perugia
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
3 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 4 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 25%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
✓ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
0 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
2 : 3 FT
Stabaek
Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
4 : 0 FT
Aalesund
✓ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
7 : 3 FT
Ham-Kam
✓ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
4 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
✓ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
4 : 3 FT
Tottenham
✓ Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
3 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
✓ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
5 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
3 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
5 : 1 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
3 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 0 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
5 : 0 FT
Volos NFC
✓ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
0 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 33%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
3 : 2 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
✓ Win 56%
Draw 31%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
2 : 1 FT
Auxerre
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
2 : 3 FT
Botafogo
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
2 : 5 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Internacional
1 : 0 FT
Goias
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 2 FT
Gremio
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 90 of 90 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 30 April 2023?

90 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Hertha BSC at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.