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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Wednesday 26 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 26 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Manchester City vs Arsenal at 67% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 21%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 0 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 15%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
4 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
3 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Plzen
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
PAOK
✓ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
4 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 37%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Chelsea
0 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
4 : 1 FT
Arsenal
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Elche
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 26 April 2023?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Arsenal at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.