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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 25 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

30 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 April 2023. Leeds vs Leicester led the list at 70% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
1 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
2 : 5 FT
A. Italiano
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Suwon Bluewings
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
3 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
La Liga Β· Spain
Girona
4 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
0 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Wolves
2 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
4 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Lincoln
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Oxford United
4 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 70% Bolton Clean Sheet 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Grimsby
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 26%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 25 April 2023?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Leeds vs Leicester at 70% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.