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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 2 September 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

40 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 September 2022. Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht led the list at 74% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
2 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al Ain
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 1 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
4 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 4 FT
Utrecht
Win 37%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 13%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
2 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ümraniyespor
0 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 0 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
1 : 0 FT
Modena
✓ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
3 : 3 FT
Niort
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Metz
0 : 0 FT
Annecy
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
4 : 1 FT
Laval
✓ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
3 : 2 FT
Nimes
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Amiens Clean Sheet 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Dijon
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
UCD
✓ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Burnley
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
3 : 0 FT
Cadiz
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 40 of 40 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 2 September 2022?

40 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fortuna Sittard vs Utrecht at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.