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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 21 May 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 21 May 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Nassr vs Damac at 52% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 1 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
3 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
6 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
3 : 2 FT
Larisa
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
0 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
2 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 5 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
NEOM
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ettifaq
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 0 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 1 FT
FC Aarau
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 21 May 2026?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Nassr vs Damac at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.