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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 15 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Sporting CP vs Famalicao at 55% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 25%
Draw 36%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 69%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
2 : 1 FT
Concepción
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#6 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
1 : 1 FT
Larisa
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Arka Gdynia
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
1 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
✓ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 23%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Reggiana
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 0 FT
RAAL La Louvière
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#16 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Primera División · Chile
Nublense
1 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Ligue 1 · France
Metz
1 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Parma
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#20 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 15 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs Famalicao at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.