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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 24 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 24 September 2024. PAU vs Lorient sits top on 50% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 27%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#2 League One Β· England
Wigan
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
2 : 3 FT
Como
Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
1 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobreloa
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
1 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
2 : 1 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#16 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 3 FT
Laval
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 FT
Peterborough
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Superettan Β· Sweden
Gefle IF
0 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 24 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAU vs Lorient at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.