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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 27 September 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 27 September 2024. Martigues vs Dunkerque sits top on 51% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
1 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Frosinone
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 2 FT
Mallorca
Win 26%
Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 68%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 4 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
0 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 12%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
3 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 3 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Rubin
Win 28%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#16 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
0 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 69%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 27 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Martigues vs Dunkerque at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.