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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 24 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 24 May 2024. Galway United vs Dundalk sits top on 47% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 24%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 0 FT
Dundalk
✓ Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Girona
7 : 0 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
5 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#5 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 2 FT
SV Wehen
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
2 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
Halmstad
✓ Win 76%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Primera División · Chile
Palestino
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
#18 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
4 : 3 FT
AC Oulu
✓ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Palermo
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
1 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 24 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galway United vs Dundalk at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.