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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 27 January 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 27 January 2024. Juventus vs Empoli sits top on 59% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 67% Juventus Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 64%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Nice Clean Sheet 54%
#3 League One · England
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
0 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#8 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 League One · England
Carlisle
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Concarneau
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#11 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 65%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 League One · England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#15 League One · England
Barnsley
1 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Modena
3 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Udinese
✓ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
3 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#19 League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Juventus vs Empoli at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.