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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 17 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 October 2021. Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico-MG led the list at 54% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
2 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 19%
Draw 36%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Elche
✓ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
2 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 14%
Draw 30%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 1 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 25%
Draw 38%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#14 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
FC UFA
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Spal
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Premier League · Russia
Ural
0 : 1 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Parma
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 17 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Goianiense vs Atletico-MG at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.