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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 15 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers at 48% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
2 : 2 FT
O'Higgins
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
3 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#9 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
Antofagasta
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
4 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
York United
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 5 FT
FC Volendam
Win 28%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 15 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.