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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 16 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 16 October 2021. Bristol City vs Bournemouth sits top on 56% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 44%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Bristol City
0 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 23%
Draw 42%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ Bournemouth Clean Sheet 56%
#2 League Two · England
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
✓ Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Salford City Clean Sheet 55%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 52%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Real Sociedad Clean Sheet 55%
#4 League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 33%
Draw 43%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS No 73% Carlisle Clean Sheet 55%
#5 League Two · England
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 FT
Forest Green
Win 9%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Forest Green Clean Sheet 55%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
1 : 4 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 16%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64%
#7 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 8%
Draw 25%
Win 67%
BTTS No 55%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
4 : 1 FT
Ionikos
✓ Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 10%
BTTS No 56%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 0 FT
Grenoble
Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 League Two · England
Colchester
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 15%
Draw 30%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves
2 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 30%
Draw 37%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 2 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Sivasspor
2 : 2 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 25%
Draw 44%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#15 League Two · England
Oldham
3 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 22%
Draw 38%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#17 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
2 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 63%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 16 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Bournemouth at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.