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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 27 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax at 77% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 37%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 8%
Draw 16%
Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 60% Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
4 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
#4 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#5 Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 21%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 5 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
1 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 24%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Portimonense
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Reggina
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 19%
Draw 36%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#16 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Cittadella
3 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
– : – CANC
FC Mariupol
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
3 : 1 FT
Göztepe
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 27 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by GO Ahead Eagles vs Ajax at 77% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.