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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 1 March 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 1 March 2022. Servette FC vs BSC Young Boys led the list at 56% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 8%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 14%
Draw 31%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 61%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 League Two · England
Newport County
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#5 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 League One · England
Portsmouth
3 : 2 FT
Oxford United
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 1 FT
Perugia
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 61%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 League Two · England
Colchester
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 33%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
1 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 League One · England
Wycombe
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
✓ Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Alessandria
1 : 1 FT
Como
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 1 March 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Servette FC vs BSC Young Boys at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.