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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Monday 18 April 2022

Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 18 April 2022. Millwall vs Hull City sits top on 79% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 64%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England 79%

Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 70%

Premier Division · Ireland 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% St Patrick's Athl. Clean Sheet 59%

League Two · England 70%

Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Premier Division · Ireland 70%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 53%

League Two · England 69%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%

League Two · England 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%

League Two · England 68%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Serie B · Italy 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

#10

Serie B · Italy 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%

#11

Veikkausliiga · Finland 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

#13

League Two · England 67%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#14

League Two · England 66%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#15

Serie B · Italy 66%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%

#16

League Two · England 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#17

League Two · England 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%

#18

Serie B · Italy 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#19

League One · England 64%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#20

Premier Division · Ireland 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Monday 18 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Millwall vs Hull City at 79% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.