🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Saturday 18 September 2021

Wed 15 Thu 16 Fri 17 Sat 18 Sun 19 Mon 20 Tue 21

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 September 2021. Niort vs Guingamp led the list at 85% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the under 2.5 goals market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · France 85%

✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 77% Guingamp Clean Sheet 60%

Super League 1 · Greece 85%

✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 82% ✓ PAS Giannina Clean Sheet 70%

Championship · England 81%

Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 70%

Ligue 2 · France 80%

✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 70%

League One · England 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%

Premier League · England 77%

✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%

Ligue 2 · France 77%

Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 77%

Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 65%

Ligue 2 · France 77%

✓ Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 67%

#10

League Two · England 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%

#11

League One · England 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 71% Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 58%

#12

Ligue 2 · France 74%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67%

#13

La Liga · Spain 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 63%

#14

League Two · England 74%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%

#15

Veikkausliiga · Finland 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%

#16

K League 1 · South-Korea 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

#17

Serie A · Brazil 73%

Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 57%

#18

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 61%

#19

Ligue 2 · France 73%

✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 72%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Saturday 18 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Niort vs Guingamp at 85% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.