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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 8 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
2 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.