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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 5 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#2 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shenyang Urban
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 34%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
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Showing top 16 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.