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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 4 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Mirassol
2 : 1 FT
Corinthians
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.